March: A Critical Turning Point in This Cycle

In January we identified a major time window for subscribers around the 20th that marked the beginning of a sharp decline. In February we isolated the first week and again the week of the 20th as critical shifts in underlying market currents. Whether the move unfolded directionally, exactly as we expected is secondary. What matters is that we knew the exact timing the volatility would hit the market.

That is our edge and the theme we will be covering in this outlook.

Going forward, we will be staying with this format for paid readers. No weekly noise or constant reactive commentary. Just high-probability monthly time windows distilled down from our macro framework and annual forecast.

We will lay out the key inflection points and moments where trend, sentiment, and liquidity are most likely to shift. Founding members will continue to get the weekly and daily execution framework, but this report is about timing. It’s about knowing when the market is most vulnerable to volatility.

And the data for March is undoubtedly signaling one of the most important months of the year.