*I apologize for the poor audio in the video some segments are nearly incoherent but I think you will understand the gist of what I’m seeing.
Price action since mid-January invalidated some of my short-term expectations, but nothing has broken the larger cycle framework we have been using. What we’re seeing now is not trend failure but rather it’s compression of a bear move that may lead to some serious short squeezes in alts over the coming months.
As we currently stand, Bitcoin and ETH are sitting on major structural support while multiple time factors converge around Feb 20th:
BTC tagged a key support zone tied to prior cycle tops.
ETH is approaching a critical 180-day / 180-degree turn after topping ahead of BTC.
All of this is happening at a seasonal midpoint and time by degrees date.
However, the real signal is under the surface with alt coins and how they have reacted to the most recent sell off in BTC.
The Altcoin Market vs BTC is showing similar behavior to late 2024.
Multiple major weekly and monthly cycles converging suggesting a major low has already been hit.
The relationship between alts and btc.d is shifting with a major time window approaching.
ETH/BTC chart confirms the importance of this window with daily and weekly signals lining up into mid-February (around the 20th).
Expectation:
Volatility into mid-month → inflection → potential altcoin squeeze starting into March–April, with May lining up as the next major cycle waypoint.
Ignore the Cassandra’s calling for doom and gloom all year.
Time is doing the work and alts are looking constructively bullish headed into a key window for BTC.D
