We are now entering the exact time window we outlined at the beginning of the month.
Back on February 3rd, I said this mid-to-late February period would be pivotal. Now we’re here — and the cycles, conditions, and timing are starting to align.
90-Day Cycle + 180-Day Inflection
Ethereum is sitting right at a 90-day cycle inflection —
The November low came precisely on a 90-day turn.
Fast forward another 90 days, and we land in this February 19–23 window.
We’re also hitting a 180-degree time factor from the August top.
That gives us cycle alignment for a quarterly low
Now we look for confirmation in conditions.
Divergences Are Building Across the Board
Across multiple key charts we’re seeing what we want to see at a potential reversal:
ETH dominance showing bullish divergence.
ETH/BTC flashing exhaustion signals.
Bitcoin dominance rolling over with weekly bearish divergence.
Others vs BTC hitting major resistance with daily divergence.
Others vs ETH tapping the 50% expansion zone that historically ignites high-risk rallies.
This is not one isolated signal but a market wide confluence.
And when time + conditions + divergence line up, that’s when moves begin.
The “Zone” That Ignites Explosive Moves
There’s a specific zone on the Others vs ETH chart that has triggered every major high-risk expansion since 2021.
Each time we enter that zone:
Small caps explode.
On-chain activity surges.
Meme and AI tokens go vertical.
We just tapped that zone again.
And historically, the real move tends to begin in the last week of February.
Historical Pattern: Late February → March Expansion
Looking back at prior cycles:
SHIB (2021) bottomed late February → massive spring expansion.
WIF / Solana ecosystem (2024) ignited late February → explosive March rally.
PEPE (2024) launched its major leg right in this window.
The pattern is consistent:
Early-year spike.
Sharp correction.
Late-February bottom.
Violent move into March/April.
Right now, many AI and meme coins have:
Already had their January expansion.
Corrected 70–90%.
completing consolidation.
That’s structurally similar to prior expansion phases.
Risk-On Barometers Are Turning
Even outside crypto:
GME showing bullish divergence.
High-beta equities starting to base.
Sentiment extremely bearish.
Four-year-cycle collapse narratives everywhere.
When bearishness gets crowded into a key time window, that provides fuel
What This Means
We have:
90-day and 180-degree cycle alignment
Weekly and daily divergences
Historical seasonal precedent
Structural rotation signals
Extreme sentiment
That doesn’t guarantee outcome. But it does signal preparation.
The next 7–10 days are likely a bottoming process in high-risk names. And historically, when this window resolves to the upside, the move into April can be fast and aggressive.
Not a year-long rally.
But a sharp, high-beta expansion phase.
Bottom Line
Cycles are aligned.
Conditions are being met.
Timing is here.
Now we watch execution.
If this follows prior structure, the next 10 days you’ll want to be paying attention
When these windows hit, the move doesn’t wait.
